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IMF warns of prolonged recession

IMF warns of prolonged recession

Global growth is expected to slow further next year, the IMF, downgrading its forecasts as countries grapple with the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, spiraling cost-of-living and economic downturns. The world economy has been dealt multiple blows, with the war in Ukraine driving up food and energy prices following the coronavirus outbreak while soaring costs and rising interest rates threaten to reverberate around the globe.

More than a third of the global economy is headed for contraction this year or next, and the three biggest economies -- the United States, European Union and China -- will continue to stall, he warned. "The worst is yet to come and, for many people 2023 will feel like a recession," said Gourinchas.

In its report, the IMF trimmed its 2023 global GDP forecast to 2.7 percent, 0.2 points down from July expectations. Its world growth forecast for this year remains unchanged at 3.2 percent. The global growth profile is its "weakest" since 2001, apart from during the global financial crisis and the worst of the pandemic said the IMF.

This reflects slowdowns for the biggest economies, including a US GDP contraction in the first half of 2022 and virus lockdowns in China on top of a property market crisis.

IMF warns of prolonged recession

IMF warns of prolonged recession

Global growth is expected to slow further next year, the IMF, downgrading its forecasts as countries grapple with the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, spiraling cost-of-living and economic downturns. The world economy has been dealt multiple blows, with the war in Ukraine driving up food and energy prices following the coronavirus outbreak while soaring costs and rising interest rates threaten to reverberate around the globe.

More than a third of the global economy is headed for contraction this year or next, and the three biggest economies -- the United States, European Union and China -- will continue to stall, he warned. "The worst is yet to come and, for many people 2023 will feel like a recession," said Gourinchas.

In its report, the IMF trimmed its 2023 global GDP forecast to 2.7 percent, 0.2 points down from July expectations. Its world growth forecast for this year remains unchanged at 3.2 percent. The global growth profile is its "weakest" since 2001, apart from during the global financial crisis and the worst of the pandemic said the IMF.

This reflects slowdowns for the biggest economies, including a US GDP contraction in the first half of 2022 and virus lockdowns in China on top of a property market crisis.

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