Religio-political parties struggle to command a major chunk of the Pakistani votebank. Why then do they play an oversized role in the country’s politics?
The combined vote share of religio-political parties in the 2018 elections in Pakistan was 9.58 per cent, slightly lower than what it was in the 2013 polls and much lower than the 11 per cent they bagged in 2002. The 2002 tally was the highest the Islamist parties have ever received in polls. In 2018, the performance of religio-political parties was weak because there were a lot more Islamist parties competing. Apart from the established ones, two new religio-political outfits emerged: The Milli Muslim League (MML) and Tehreek-i-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP). Their entry into electoral politics was encouraged by the establishment to usurp the “religious vote” of the Centre-Right PML-N so that Imran Khan’s Centre-Right PTI could benefit. None of the new religio-political parties could win many seats, but that was never the “plan.”
Whereas the MML could not perform in the manner in which some expected it to, the radical Barelvi TLP not only succeeded in usurping PML-N’s Barelvi vote, but also gobbled up the secular MQM’s lower-middle-class Barelvi votes in Karachi. This certainly aided PTI in challenging the PML-N in Punjab and the MQM in Karachi. Historically, Islamist outfits in South Asia are not built as electoral parties. They emerge as evangelical groups or residues of movements. And even when they do convert into electoral outfits, they struggle to do well in polls because the non-religion-based mainstream parties pragmatically co-opt their causes and rhetoric.
Plus, the religio-political parties are closely associated with one Islamic sect/sub-sect or the other. This limits their appeal to voters from other denominations. Some are even understood to have developed a sect of their own, as the Jamaat-i-Islami (JI) was once accused of doing. Islamist groups in South Asia developing political interests is a 20th century phenomenon rooted in the Khilafat Movement of 1919-1924. When the European theory of the State began to attract Centrist and Leftist groups in South Asia in the early 20th century, Islamist groups, too, began to be attracted by it and started to theorise the possibility of creating an “Islamic state.” But most of them could not find the means or the need to devise any electoral tools to achieve such a State. They often saw electoral politics as contrary to their Islamist dispositions. That’s why the demand for a Muslim-majority State Pakistan arose from a Centrist and quasi-secular All India Muslim League (AIML). What’s more, almost all major Islamist parties opposed this demand on one pretext or the other. But they could not neutralise AIML’s plans because, by the 1940s, it had not only become an experienced electoral entity, but it was able to juxtapose its “modernist” Muslim nationalism with rhetoric from their Islamist opponents. These opponents had no plan to stall the League through electoral means.
The Islamist parties remained in an electoral limbo during the first 20 years of Pakistan but they did retain their evangelical and agitational disposition, in an attempt to influence the ideological character of the new country. But even during the years of indirect elections (1957-58) and hybrid democracy (1962-69), they could not devise any effective electoral tools and send members to the first two constituent Assemblies, and the two Assemblies that came into being during the Ayub Khan dictatorship.
Yet, just before the country’s first direct elections in 1970, parties such as JI were claiming that they would sweep the polls. But the opposite happened. From 1947 till 1972, Islamist parties operated from outside the Assemblies and had no significant influence on policymaking, other than through the threat of agitations. Though 18 members from three religio-political parties managed to enter the 1972 Parliament, they were no match for the mainstream electoral parties. That’s why, in 1974 and then again in 1977, Islamist parties once again banked on their penchant for agitational politics to undermine a regime. With the sidelining of some major parties during 1977, the religio-political parties were given space to develop their electoral skills and expand constituencies. Separate electorates were introduced to favour them. But the idea, on the part of the military regime, was to manoeuvre them in a manner that would help the Zia dictatorship ward off challenges posed by the Opposition parties.
Most of them became tools of the establishment, without whose backing they believed they could not become effective electoral entities. In the 1990s, the PML-N continued to co-opt religious rhetoric of the Islamist parties. However, the self-proclaimed “enlightened moderate” Musharraf decided to aggressively sideline the PML-N and the PPP during the 2002 polls, by creating the conditions required for the religio-political parties to win in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This was when these parties bagged 11 per cent of the vote but this could not halt the return of the PPP and the PML-N after the 2008 elections.
In the eyes of the establishment, the mutable utility of the old religio-political parties has been exhausted. With growing mistrust between the PML-N/PPP and the establishment, the latter “allowed” the growth of new religion-based groups like the TLP and the MML. In an environment where the State was at war with religious militancy and with the sword of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) still hanging over the country’s head, the idea was to quietly nurture new religious groups, not to help them win, but to aid the pro-establishment PTI by way of scattering PML-N’s religious votebank. The fate of the religio-political parties in politics is thus likely to continue being dependent on their utility to the establishment.
(Courtesy: Dawn)
If people want change, they should rally around Alexei Navalny. Today, the grandiose support for Putin is on the wane, primarily because of years of declining wages and fiscal tightening. This is a perfect atmosphere for Opposition political forces to muster public support for themselves, but the fact is they have utterly failed in that effort so far
Alexei Navalny, the anti-corruption crusader, is the staunchest critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin. He has painted Putin’s United Party as a place of “crooks and thieves”. In his public speeches, he accused the Putin’s system of “sucking the blood out of Russia”. Thus he has committed to the Russian populace that he is all out to demolish the “Feudal State”. However, he has not been able to challenge Putin in the election so far. When in 2018, he tried to contest the presidential poll, his candidature was banned by the state over his conviction by a Russian court in an embezzlement case. His Anti-Corruption Foundation is known for exposing cases of graft and corruption by Russian politicians, oligarchs and top bureaucrats. He has been jailed in the past for bringing out unauthorised demonstrations. Navalny was forced to close down his foundation
in July after it was badly crippled by a multitude of fines and charges. Before this move, the Kremlin moved to froze his bank accounts, and those of his family members, including his children.
Last month, on August 20, he suddenly fell unconscious aboard while travelling from the Siberian city of Tomsk to the capital city Moscow. Hence an emergency landing was arranged on the way in the city of Omsk and he was admitted to hospital with suspected poisoning. As per his staff, he was poisoned in the airport café where he had tea just before flying. His supporters believed that the hospital at Omsk was under pressure to delay his transfer to a German facility as his wife Yulia Navalny demanded. The intention was to prevent a detailed investigation into what caused his sudden illness. Interestingly Alexander Murakhovsky, the head of the medical team that attended Navalny, stated that Navalny had not been poisoned but diagnosed with a metabolic disease caused by low blood sugar. And this may have caused his immediate collapse onboard the flight. But he failed to explain why Navalny could not regain consciousness even after a day. Finally, the Russian Government allowed him to be transferred to a German healthcare centre based in Berlin known as Charite Hospital. The doctors in Berlin said the test results suggested he had been poisoned with a “cholinesterase inhibitor”. It is a group of chemicals that are also used to treat diseases like Alzheimer’s.
Cholinesterase’s use ranges from pesticides and medicines to nerve agents. But when used in nerve agents and pesticides, that can be really harmful to human beings. Further, the worst part is that the cholinesterase inhibitors block a crucial enzyme that circulates messages from nerves to muscles. And this particular enzyme is called acetylcholinesterase. And the inhibition of this enzyme interferes in nerve-to-muscle messaging process. Once it happens, the muscles fail to contract and relax. Thus this leads to the muscles into a stage of spasm. Looking all these complexities, Navalny demands a fair treatment and post-medical care too. Currently, he has been given an antidote called “atropine”. In fact, the same antidote was used in the case of former KGB spy Sergei Skirpal and his daughter Yulia Skirpal by the doctors in the UK after their poisoning with the nerve agent called Novichok in Salisbury in the year 2018. But both of them had a miraculous recovery in the UK.
Jaka Bijilz of Cinema for Peace Foundation, the German group that airlifted Navalny to Berlin, revealed that initially his condition was very critical and worrying. But now the moot question is that whether Navalny will survive the attack without lasting damage. However, the German doctors say that the recovery may take long.
The recent attack on Navalny, the sixth such attempt on a Russian dissident in the last five years, invited Putin a slew of scathing criticisms from the international community. Meanwhile the Russian Government denied the accusation that Navalny was poisoned. And the state apparatus has dismissed the accusation of the Kremlin’s involvement simply as “empty noise”. However, what comes from the allies of Navalny is a secret planning of the state to kill another Putin baiter. Vladimir Milov, a former Russian Deputy Energy Minister, who currently advises Navalny, said, “It’s essentially an attempt to remove him as a threat. They consider this with a classic KGB mentality: no man, no problem.”
At the moment, the top European leaders such as French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel have demanded Moscow to launch a full investigation to this incident. In fact, both the leaders stood side by side at a news conference to assure the Kremlin critic medical services and asylum. Finally, the Kremlin ordered for a thorough and objective investigation. Around the same time, Merkel said Navalny had been poisoned with a Soviet-style Novichok nerve agent in an attempt to murder the critic.
Protests in authoritarian nations like China, Russia, etc, can simply be branded as either a brave act or foolhardy. In reality, Putin has embarked on a repressive path to consolidate his power. The Opposition in Russia works under absolute pressure and surveillance of Moscow. Precisely, the law enforcement agencies and secret agents are too cautious not to allow the Opposition a Maidan-style revolution that emerged in Kyiv, the capital city of Ukraine, in the last part of the year 2013 and continued till the beginning of 2014. Therefore, simply to prevent such uprisings, the Russian authorities are too alert to deal with any unauthorised protests very swiftly and decisively.
Remarkably, unlike the Kiev protests wherein the demonstrators demolished the statutes of Lenin and even started occupying some government buildings, accompanied by clashes with the security forces, Muscovites have remained peaceful so far. These protesters at times only block traffic flows and occupy public spaces. They are not even like the Jilets Jaunes in Paris (who almost created a total chaos for Macron Government) and the pro-democracy young protesters of Hong Kong (who occupied government buildings just before the coming of the draconian National Security Law in June this year).
Navalny’s has been a sustained attempt to raise the banner of protests for long. Good that till date he is alive. It’s not only Navalny, someone or the other in the past, has been trying to topple Putin and his allies. But then why the Opposition is not been able to dethrone Putin so far? The excessive forces used by the Kremlin are continuously frightening off people at times to come out in open against the Putin regime. Secondly, the hardcore Opposition groups are not a big worry for Putin and his administration. The reason behind is these forces can hardly gather some thousands only in major cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg. Thus, radical Opposition is not an immediate threat for Putin. The authorities are apprehensive about mass protests. But so far Moscow has not encountered a scenario like the Arab Spring.
But today, the grandiose support for Putin is gradually declining. One of the primary reasons for this is years of declining real wages and fiscal tightening by the Putin Government. In an atmosphere like this, radical political forces and activists should have mustered more public support by now. But it is not becoming a reality as of today.
With Putin, you don’t see any dynamism and change. Only change that you overwhelmingly witness is dwindling grace and pace of Russia accompanied by a top down administration full of nepotism and corruption. The commoners are fast fading from the public square. Kremlin reprisals of the critics are a regular affair. Putin is quite unique in carrying out these attacks. But Russia’s Putin era will not come to an end so easily. Resistance to Putin in public may lead to bloodbath. However, the Russian people cannot just seat idle.
What David Thomson wrote in his “Europe Since Napoleon” once again reminds all of us of the agony of the Russian people under the current Putinista. He rightly stated: “History offered no warrant for either complacent optimism or black despondency. It offered no simple answer: only a challenge to reasonable hope and strenuous, unremitting endeavour.” If people want change, they should throw weight behind Navalny.
(The writer is an expert on international affairs)
There is a growing sense of insecurity in the ruling elite that makes it impatient to stamp out differences and deviations from the norm
Residential schools were a common feature of European settler societies (except New Zealand) until quite late in the 20th century, and their purpose was not just to educate but to “deracinate” their aboriginal pupils: That is, to cut them off from their roots. The Chinese Government would reject the analogy with its last breath, but it is now doing the same thing. Last week, in China’s Inner Mongolian Autonomous Region, ethnic Mongolian parents began holding rallies and keeping their children home from school in protest against new measures to reduce teaching in the Mongolian language in favour of Chinese. Under the new rules, history, politics, language and literature will be taught in Mandarin Chinese, not in Mongolian.
It has not been reported in the Chinese media, of course, but the BBC reports that students at one demonstration chanted “Our language is Mongolia and our homeland is Mongolia forever!” At another school, only 40 students registered for the autumn term instead of the usual 1,000 — and most of them left after the first day. It should be noted that in Inner Mongolia, ethnic Chinese (Han) people are a four-fifths majority of the 25 million residents. The province is beyond the Great Wall and was once almost entirely Mongolian, but it was already majority Han before the current Chinese Communist regime came to power in 1949.
Most of China’s five million Mongols are concentrated in three eastern districts of Inner Mongolia, but even there they are not a majority of the population — and many of these Mongolian-speakers are urbanised people who are fully bilingual and intermarry freely with their ethnic Chinese neighbours. The core of the unrest is among the million or so who still pursue a modified version of the old “nomadic” culture. They are the traditional Steppe-dwelling people who follow their herds on horseback or in all-terrain vehicles through their seasonal rounds. Unlike aboriginal languages, Mongolian has been written in its own script for many centuries, and Genghis Khan’s empire once briefly ruled about a quarter of the world, but the “nomadic” Mongols do depend on boarding schools.
Such schools are simply a practical necessity for people who live in small groups and move frequently, and in the Chinese case, they were not originally conceived as instruments of cultural genocide. Until recently, in fact, they operated entirely in Mongolian, with Chinese taught as a second language. The Chinese policy towards “tribal” minorities has traditionally been more tolerant than the US or Canadian policy towards native Red Indians, the Australian policy towards Aborigines, the Scandinavian policy towards Sami (Lapps) or the Russian policy towards Siberian native peoples. All of those unlucky people got the kind of residential schools that aimed at cultural assimilation and religious conversion.
The children spent most of the year in boarding schools, not with their families. They were taught the religion of the settlers, not that of their native culture. They were forced to use the language of the dominant European group and forbidden to speak their own. And most of them were subjected to violence. (Yes, most.) Many of the adults who emerged from this ordeal were tormented men and women, and their legacy of alcoholism, drug abuse, child abuse, nihilism and despair is still being passed down the generations. Nothing of the sort has happened to the Mongols of Inner Mongolia, so far as is known — but something bad is starting to happen to them now. The Chinese culture has always been patronising towards the minorities living within China’s borders, but it didn’t usually see them as threats. They aren’t threats now, either, but there is a growing sense of insecurity in the ruling elite that makes it impatient to stamp out differences and deviations from the norm. You can see it in Tibet, where the screws have been turned so tight on dissent that more than a 100 people have burned themselves to death in protests since 2009. You cannot avoid seeing it in Xinjiang, where more than a million Uyghurs have been sent to concentration camps that operate like residential schools for adults, trying to separate the residents from their religion, language and values.
And you can detect it in a minor key even in Inner Mongolia, in a needless, destabilising attempt to force Mandarin down the throats of loyal, innocent people who pose no threat whatever to the State. What drives President-for-Life Xi Jinping and his advisers to such ridiculous and counter-productive extremes? The only plausible answer is fear that history will repeat itself. China’s rulers are all Communists in theory (though how many still really believe it is another matter), and so they rightly worry that what happened the communist parties of Europe in 1989 could also happen to them. However, two years after that the Soviet Union broke up as well. It’s really unlikely that China will ever do the same, because more than 90 per cent of the population is ethnic Chinese, but the guilty flee where none pursue.
(Gwynne Dyer’s new book is ‘Growing Pains: The Future of Democracy and Work.’)
The West’s response to the Coronavirus shows that we have succumbed to a collective obsession and become a society enraptured by medieval superstitions
Can this really be happening? The British are famously — and proudly — the most difficult people in the world to terrorise or bully. The population that stood with tireless phlegm and humour against relentless bombardment, that made its historical mark with an unflinching rationality which never permits hysteria to sweep the public discourse — must now be chivied into leaving the confines of their own homes or the safe harbours of their immediate neighbourhoods.
And the most perplexing thing of all is that this is the response of most of the Western world. They, who have always stood up for their personal liberties, are now willingly covering at home at the thought of an invisible virus getting them. It is like the Bogeyman of the Middle Ages has been let loose upon the planet and if we don’t hide from it, that will be the end of us. If we look back at history, it seems that over time, society goes from “terror to terror.” Whether the “Red Scare” of communism in the 50s, or the Al Qaeda, immigration, and the Bear market, the Swine Flu and now the Coronavirus.
Where did this come from? Well, on the one hand, it is perfectly clear: With an official Government campaign deliberately designed not only to inculcate fear but to suggest that protection against the great threat of the contagion was simple and clear-cut. And furthermore, obeying the “stay safe, stay home” edict would not just protect you and your immediate family but the rest of society as well. So locking yourself away was a moral obligation as well as an insurance against the personal danger of catching the dreaded Coronavirus. The combination of anxiety and appeal to the conscience of the common man was unbeatable — even when it involved deprivations of liberty which would once have been unconscionable.
So where are we now? Trapped in a state of what appears to be a spiral of fear so profound that it has become a permanent condition. Of course, as everybody has said, the Government’s incoherent messages have something to do with this: One day there is solemn talk of an inevitable “second wave” of the Coronavirus and the next day... well you know the rest.
But the big question on everybody’s minds is how much of this epidemic of national trepidation is pretext? We gather that a great many professionals — particularly those in the service industries on whom the British economy depends — are really quite smugly pleased with their new home-based work arrangements.
They are so relaxed, it seems, that when Government Ministers try to tell them that, actually, they might be putting their jobs at risk by becoming permanent ghost-like unpersons in the workplace, they rise up indignantly — as if refusing to venture into the office was now a right.
In fact, of course, the new Government advice is simply common sense. If an employee can do his job from home indefinitely, so could a floating free-lancer who will be owed no security, no sick leave, no health insurance, pension benefits or parental leave.
All the protections and rights which employees have fought hard to win over the generations will count for nothing once managements discover that most of the functions now carried out by those in formal employment can be done anywhere by people prepared to carry out the same functions on their own premises (and providing the necessary equipment at their own expense).
But surely those clever professionals in their home offices could have come to this conclusion themselves. Anybody who has ever worked in an organisation knows that there is more to a successful career than simply doing the tasks that are required. So why has such a large cohort of the educated population suddenly become so perversely obtuse about what was once a commonplace of adult life?
There has to be something bigger involved in this startling social development which nobody, so far as I recall, foresaw. Nursing my own personal grief over the loss of the cultural landmarks of the year — the concerts and the theatre, the opera and the art exhibitions — it suddenly struck me that virtually all of these events had been hit recently by their own traumatic identity crises.
I found myself thinking aloud: “Western culture has been considering a means of suicide for a while. Maybe it’s finally found it.” In moments of despair it had occurred to me that there was something of a medieval Dark Age about the current mood: Extinction Rebellion with its child saints and the self-flagellating Woke culture.
Being given an apparently sound reason to disable the most notable manifestations of that historical tradition which we are now being encouraged to denounce: What could be better suited to the weird, vaguely hysterical, fashion of the times? Fear may be the most dangerous contagion but I am coming around to the view that this is not simple fear. It is a mass neurosis of which irrational and prolonged anxiety is a symptom. A corrosive loss of confidence and understanding of one’s role and identity which will, if it prevails, ultimately undermine the quality of modern life more irrevocably than any virus.
It is not only our official cultural institutions that are at risk here. One of the most fundamental principles of post-war liberal democracy is on trial or, at least, coming up for examination.
The pandemic has been a moral predicament at least as much as a health crisis. When this whole bizarre chapter is finally over, the questions that needed to be put, but for which there was no time, will be luminously clear. How much should we have asked the general populace to sacrifice in order to protect what we knew, almost from the start, would be a quite small, vulnerable minority?
Is personal liberty — normally of unquestionable value in a democracy during peacetime — expendable when healthcare systems are under sufficient strain? Where exactly do we draw the line on the right of governments to dictate the terms of personal relations?
Perhaps we have learned more than we wished to know about the assumptions that underpin the Government in the modern era. If, for example, we accept that the State should provide healthcare in some more or less comprehensive form, does that mean that it has the right (or even the duty) to ensure that its medical infrastructure is not threatened?
And does that provision oblige the State to put the protection of every individual life above, say, the quality of life of the unaffected majority? Is that the essence of the modern political conscience, and if it is, hadn’t we better discuss it openly? After all, these are our personal liberties at stake.
So there was an odd mix here: On the one hand, the very modern idea that it is the duty of governments to prevent a single life being lost — a notion which the medieval mind with its fatalistic acceptance of mortality would have found absurd — combined with a darkly superstitious dread of some unfathomable threat. Everybody is saying that we have lived through a strange time. It may have been stranger than we knew.
(Courtesy: The Daily Telegraph)
Imran Khan has been boxed into a tight corner as the Saudi-UAE duo has called the bluff on Pakistan trying to be too clever by half with Turkey
Last year, visiting Arab princes from Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates (UAE) were given Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan’s privileged treatment of personally chauffeuring them in a bit to dial up charm offensives. Pakistan’s situation was precarious as its coffers were dangerously depleted and in dire need of Arab largesse. Also embarrassingly for Pakistan, both monarchies had just expressed displeasure at the Pulwama terror attack. While the princes did loosen their purse strings and provide generous financial support, something was amiss. Soon the UAE announced its highest civilian award, i.e. Order of Zayed, for the Indian Prime Minister for boosting “comprehensive strategic ties.” A few years earlier, the Saudis had conferred their highest award, King Abdulaziz Sash, on the Indian Prime Minister.
Whispers of Pakistani unreliability and undercutting were gaining credence in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi – the Arab monarchies were picking signs of trapeze artist Imran Khan’s growing dalliances with their nemesis of Turkey, Malaysia, Qatar and Iran. In the imploding world of Organisation of Islamic Countries (OIC), fissures have developed, and new power centres are emerging to the discomfiture of Saudi-UAE led Gulf Sheikhdoms. Within that churn, Pakistan is no longer perceived as a dependable ally.
This sudden dissonance was contrary to Pakistan’s traditional status as Saudi Arabia’s “closest Muslim ally.” From supporting Pakistan in the 1971 Indo-Pak war, opposing the creation of Bangladesh, supporting Pakistani machinations in Afghanistan and Kashmir, to even supposedly funding the “Islamic Bomb,” the Saudis were once the most generous Pakistani supporters. Pakistanis had reciprocated by providing security to Saudi Arabia in terms of military, training and weaponry, as also affording the singular honour of taking Riyadh into confidence before conducting its atomic tests. The Saudis also entrusted the former Pakistani Military Chief, General Raheel Sharif, to lead the Riyadh-based 41 nation, Islamic Military Counter-Terrorism Coalition (IMCTC). UAE was part of this triumvirate and had conjointly recognised the Pak-backed Taliban government in Afghanistan and was the only country along with Saudi Arabia to hail the Pakistani atomic tests as a “bold decision.” Also, energy, commerce and expat repatriation made both these Sheikhdoms life-sustaining for governments in Islamabad. Above all, the co-religiosity and the Shariaisation project of Pakistani dictator, General Zia-ul-Haq, in the 80s was principally funded and abetted by these two nations. UAE’s founding father, Sheikh Zayed, used to consider Pakistan his second home and when Dubai’s airline Emirates was launched, it was Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) that the Emiratis turned to. The cash-rich Arab royalty was feted and they treated beholden Pakistan as their backyard, with private houbara grouse hunting trips arranged for their princelings.
But the times soon changed and new considerations and urgencies kicked in with the “war on terror,” Arab Spring, deepening of sectarian faultlines and the independent assertion of countries like Turkey. But Pakistan refused to change its ways and was embarrassingly caught harbouring global terrorist Osama Bin Laden till he was “taken out” and continued playing havoc in Kashmir and Afghanistan. Pakistan also refused to participate in the Saudi-UAE’s war in Yemen, fearing sectarian repercussions on its own soil, to the chagrin of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi. But Pakistan’s unpardonable undoing with the Saudi-UAE duo was its growing proximity with Turkey and assuming over-enthusiastically that it could now flex its muscle within the ummah with the support of Turkey. While countries like Turkey, Malaysia, Qatar and Iran have historically claimed “fraternal” relations with Pakistan – they are nothing compared to the financial, energy, diplomatic and strategic support that had been given by the Arab duo. Imran Khan had ungratefully partaken the opportunity to cock a snook at his biggest benefactors.
Pakistani Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood cuttingly accused the Saudi-led OIC of “dilly-dallying” on Kashmir and in an unprecedented manner alluded to breaking ranks by saying, “I’ll be compelled to ask Prime Minister Imran Khan to call a meeting of the Islamic countries that are ready to stand with us on the issue of Kashmir.” The Arab duo noted the implied import of the loaded statement that intended to shame them and repercussions soon followed.
They decided to halt their crucial three-year aid plan to Pakistan after just a year. They repeatedly snubbed Pakistan on Kashmir. UAE faced the wrath of “Boycott UAE” trending on Pakistani social media, as it was postured that only Turkey “stood by” Islamabad. To make matters worse for an increasingly isolated Pakistan, UAE has now recognised Israel and that has weakened Pakistan’s ability to rake up issues like Palestine and more specifically, Kashmir, as the practicalities of the looming economic crisis, fight against Covid pandemic, fight against extremism and quest for regional peace override all manufactured passions of Islamabad. Pakistan’s duplicity of terror is globally established and its ability to run with the hare and hunt with the hound on terrorism in Kashmir is becoming indefensible for one-time allies like Saudi Arabia and UAE, who seek progressive equations with the West, India and even Israel. Meanwhile, Pakistan is harping and walking the opposite direction of revisionism and religious extremism.
It has tried to mend fences by dispatching the Chief of the Army Staff to Riyadh but Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman refused to meet General Qamar Bajwa. Imran Khan is boxed into a tight corner as the Saudi-UAE duo has called the bluff on Pakistan trying to be too clever by half with Turkey and has made normalcy conditional to Islamabad reneging on Ankara. Abandoning Turkey at this stage will lead to a loss of face for Pakistan as it will count as yet another act of Pakistan’s patented untrustworthiness and unreliability. Clearly Imran Khan has bitten more than he can chew – he remains saddled with a flailing economy, disrupted aid lifelines, isolation among his traditional allies and a selfish agenda of Kashmir, in which not too many are interested. The proverbial chickens are coming home to roost as Pakistan mulls over yet another botched act of biting the hand that fed it.
(The author is former Lt Governor of Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Puducherry)
India’s decision to not only rely on local manufacturing but also multiply the scale to meet global demands stands to gain extensively from multilateral support
We are moving from ‘Make in India’ to ‘Make for the world’. But as every nation is already on the brink with the pandemic, we are faced with the critical question of the existence of globalisation as we know it. Countries are looking to bring supply chains back home as a measure to increase economic resilience. At this point, India’s position on self-reliance does not steer away from multilateralism, rather embraces it. India holds a strategic position to counteract the conservative and unilateral mood pervasive in the global political economy. Its position as a fast-growing Asian power enables it to implement more equitable global rules that can protect economic interests of other developing nations as well. At the recently-concluded 19th Darbari Seth Memorial Lecture by TERI, External Affairs Minister Dr S Jaishankar reiterated that as India enters the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) as an elected member in 2021, and joins the troika of the G20 at almost the same time, “there could be no better opportunity to work with all those who recognise the benefits of multilateralism.” At the same event, António Guterres, Secretary General of the UN, emphasised on the necessity of taking climate risks into account in all financial and policy decisions and furthering collective action.
Some experts have argued that a retreat from the multilateral trade order is likely to widen inequalities between countries, virtually disable economies of scale thereby making everything more expensive, limit free mobility of goods and services, thereby affecting employment and intensify geo-political tensions, making it difficult for an already fragile global economy to recover. As more countries shift away from this era of globalisation, it is crucial to prepare for what takes its place. In this flailing global discourse, we explore the value that multilateral institutions (MLIs) and developmental banks stand to add, especially for developing countries like ours. In this context, we discuss three vital roles MLIs play.
Mobilisers of finance: One branch of MLIs comprises Multilateral Developmental Banks (MDBs), which help mobilise finance globally, particularly in fragile States and lower and upper middle-income countries. In the new world order that countries are expected to enter in the post-COVID scenario, the role of MDBs is crucial from three vantage points. First, fast-emerging economies like India can enable transformative action by achieving economies of scale. The extent and potential of scalability of new research in India and other developing countries is very large. This has been evident in wide adoption of technological innovation in vital sectors such as clean energy, low carbon alternatives and even models of large-scale financing. In order to tap into this potential, adequate finance must be mobilised to spur investment required to achieve scale. Public finance is argued to be one such driver of investment in upcoming sectors. However, such finance is often already stretched thin to be able to wholly mobilise financial resources in newer avenues such as hydrogen and wind and hydro-power among others. In the past, MDB financing has enabled an irreversible transition to favourable technologies and means of production. This source of financing will be all the more crucial as countries start looking to internalise supply chains. Second, catalysing private finance. Investments by MDBs reduce risk perception, create conducive environment for private investment and lead to a lower cost of financing for newer sectors. In addition to these financial gains, the presence of an MDB also reduces policy risk, lack of credibility and minimises the problem of contract enforcement. This in turn helps mobilise further private interest. Investment in renewables in India gained significantly from investment by MDBs. In 2018, MDBs reported mobilisation of over $69 billion of private finance in low and middle-income countries.
Third, enhancing institutional capacity. MDBs help strengthen developmental policy to bring about institutional reforms in key sectors. Such measures are essential in building capacity and increasing the scale of reach. For example, financial assistance during the pandemic has been crucial in such capacity building in a variety of sectors ranging from health to Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). As economies recover, MDB financing will be vital in reviving key productivity.
Tackling global externalities: One of the fundamental purposes of the inception of MLIs has been to overcome market failures. Climate change is the biggest market failure that we are currently witnessing. MLIs have been instrumental in bringing together policymakers to take collective action to safeguard against this externality by enabling structural transformations that bring about more sustainable economies. Institutions such as the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Green Climate Fund (GCF), Adaptation Fund (AF) and other global bodies play the critical role of mobilising technical resources, knowledge and expertise from across the world into the poorest and vulnerable regions. Even if the global order transitions into that of more conservative and closed economies, climate change will remain an externality necessitating collective solutions. In such a scenario, support by MLIs will be vital for local civil societies to carry out research and evidence building.
This is essential for three critical activities. First, continued ground-level research on adapting to climate change. Second, dissemination of new research, which can be further scaled by multilateral support. And third, increased community-based action to build resilience which can support long-term sustainable solutions. Climate-related disasters and the associated chronic challenges that the world is likely to face require the same urgency as when dealing with the acute health impacts of COVID-19. This necessitates countries, the private sector and civil societies to engage collectively. MLIs can help achieve this with efficacy.
Global coalitions between governments and the private sector: Inter-national multilateral agreements play an important role in achieving both global climate and sustainable development goals. They play an important role in nudging national policies to combat climate change and spurring sub-national and non-State actors to action as well. This was evident in the 2019 UN Climate Summit, where major industries pledged to reducing emissions. Several Indian industry front-runners were also part of the ‘Industry Transition Track’ led jointly by the Indian Government and Sweden. Multilateral agreements play a crucial role in building new alliances and coalitions as highlighted by the International Solar Alliance and the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure. Such coalitions are effective on both domestic and international platforms. On a domestic scale, these ensure a coordination of action across developmental policy and climate action. At the international level, it would help in ensuring a continuum in real climate action. They can support coalitions between governments to develop favourable ecosystems which further enable non-State action.
It is evident that countries are moving towards more unilateral policy frameworks. This has raised concerns if the widespread conservative sentiment on international policy and the precarious global supply chain could mean a reversal of what the Bretton Woods Agreement sought to achieve in 1944. One of the most pressing global problems — climate-related disasters — does not impact countries and institutions in silos. These impending and ongoing crises require urgent attention and action. Countries, private sector and civil societies, therefore, must engage collectively. MLIs, by their design and purpose, can help achieve this effectively.
In this context MLIs can support three interlinked activities: Mobilisation of finance, streamlined action towards tackling the biggest global externality and engagement of State and non-State actors to further climate action. These will hold immense importance even as countries choose to move into more unilateral and autarkist policies. Enabling large-scale finance to minimise carbon lock-in, creating conducive market conditions for green investments and building resilience through enhanced adaptation can be achieved with the support of dedicated MLIs. Their unique structure allows them to disseminate knowledge, technical and financial resources from developed countries for the benefit of emerging economies and vulnerable communities. India’s decision to not only rely on local manufacturing but also multiply the scale to meet global demands stands to gain extensively from multilateral support.
(Mangotra is Associate Director, Earth Sciences and Climate Change Division and Ritu Ahuja is Research Associate, Centre for Global Environment Research, TERI)
With COVID-19 infecting millions worldwide, China is faced with an unprecedented global backlash that could destabilize its reign as the factory of choice for the world. Its neighbor India has felt a chance and is keen to make inroads into a vacuum that China expects will vacate sooner rather than later. In a recent interview, Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari said that China’s weakening global position is a “blessing in disguise” for India to draw further investment. Uttar Pradesh‘s northern province, which has a population of Brazil’s size, is now developing an economic task force to lure businesses willing to leave China. India is also planning a pool of land twice Luxembourg‘s size to sell companies that want to move production out of China, approaching 1,000 American multinationals, Bloomberg said. “This outreach has been an ongoing operation,” Deepak Bagla, Invest India chief executive, the BBC‘s national investment promotion agency, told the government. “For many of those firms, Covid would only accelerate the cycle of de-risking from China.”
The U.S.-India Business Council (USIBC), an influential advocacy organization seeking to improve investment flows between India and the U.S., has said India has stepped up its pitch considerably. “We see India prioritizing efforts to draw supply chains, both at the central and state levels of government,” Nisha Biswal, USIBC President and former US Department of State Assistant Secretary for South and Central Asia, told the BBC. “Companies that already have some manufacturing in India could be earlier movers in the reduction of output in Chinese plants and the rise in demand in India.” But we are still at an assessment stage and it is unlikely that decisions will be taken in haste, she said. In an environment where global balance sheets are fractured, it’s easier said than done to relocate entire supply chains. “Because of the pandemic, many of these companies face severe cash and capital constraints, and will therefore be very cautious before making swift moves,” said independent economist Rupa Subramanya.
According to Rahul Jacob, a long- time China watcher and former head of the Hong Kong Financial Times office, the Indian government setting up land banks is a step in the right direction, but it is unlikely that large corporations will move their operations only because land is made available. “Production lines and supply chains are much more complex than most people tend to realize, and tearing them apart overnight is very hard,” he said. “China offers integrated infrastructure such as large ports and highways, high-quality labor and sophisticated logistics, all of which are critical factors in meeting the stringent deadlines operated by international companies.” India matches the integrated capacities of China’s infrastructure? For large multinationals, another reason India may not be the obvious option is because it is not well integrated with major global supply chains.
Last year, after seven years of negotiation, Delhi pulled out of a key multilateral trade deal with 12 other Asian nations, collectively known as the Global Comprehensive Economic Partnership ( RCEP). Such decisions make it difficult for Indian exporters to benefit from tariff-free access to the destination markets or offer their trading partners reciprocity. “Why would I make something I would like to sell to Singapore in India? Institutionally connecting in trade agreements is as important as offering competitive prices,” Parag Khanna, author of The Future is Asian, told the BBC. He believes that regional integration is especially important, as global trade continues to adopt the “sale where you make” paradigm in which businesses are called “near-source” rather than out-source manufacturing, and bring it closer to demand. The unpredictable relationship between India and foreign direct investment (FDI) and inconsistent regulation is also something that continues to worry global firms.
The fear is that India has used the pandemic to build protectionist walls around itself, from banning e-commerce companies from selling non-essential items and tweaking FDI rules to disallow easier flows of capital from neighboring countries. In a recent address to the country, Indian Premier Narendra Modi made his rallying cry “to be vocal for the local.” Moreover, new policy plans have increased rates for international companies that bid for Indian contracts. “The more that India can strengthen regulatory stability, the better its chances of persuading more global companies to create hubs in India,” Mr. Biswal says. And who else, If not India? Vietnam, Bangladesh, South Korea and Taiwan tend to be favorites to benefit from the backlash against China as things stand. According to Mr. Jacob, the latter two at the “high-tech end of the spectrum” and Vietnam and Bangladesh at the bottom have blamed China for not doing enough to stop coronavirus spread. Owing to rising labor and environmental costs, multinationals started transferring production from China to these countries almost a decade ago.
The slow migration has only gathered speed in recent years as trade tensions between the US and China has increased. U.S. imports of goods from Vietnam have increased by more than 50 per cent since June 2018, a month before the trade war started, and those from Taiwan by 30 per cent, according to South China Morning Post newspaper estimates. India is seen as losing out because it failed to establish conditions that would allow multinationals not only to supply the local market, but also to use the country as a production base for exporting to the world. Several states have started to make moves in recent weeks to address some concerns about the ease of doing business-among them making contentious changes to the archaic labor laws of India, put in place to reduce exploitation. For example, the states of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh have abolished substantial labor protections that exempt factories from even maintaining basic standards such as cleanliness, ventilation, lighting, and toilets. The aim is to improve the environment of investment and to attract global capital. Yet these decisions may be harmful and harm rather than support, says Mr. Jacob: “” International companies would be very wary about this. They have strict codes of conduct on labor, environment and safety standards for suppliers.”
A turning point was the collapse of the garment factory Rana Plaza in Bangladesh in 2013 which supplied retailers including Walmart. He cautions that it forced Bangladesh to dramatically upgrade factory infrastructure and protection in order to win further investment. “India must follow better standards. These are whiteboard ideas drafted by bureaucrats on Powerpoint that are completely divorced from the reality of global trade.” Yet with the US considering punitive measures against China, Japan charging its companies to move out of the country and UK lawmakers coming under pressure to rethink their decision to enable the Chinese telecoms giant Huawei to play a part in building the country’s new 5 G data network, the global anti-China sentiment is growing. The time is ripe for India to pursue broad-based structural reforms and use these dramatic geopolitical changes to change its worldwide trading relationship.
Ahuti Singh is assistant professor in department of economics in DAV, Banaras hindu university
Challenged by Turkey’s ‘neo-Ottomanism’, Saudi Arabia is trying to revive King Faisal’s reformist ideas. The goal, as before, is the leadership of the Sunni world
In 1924, a year after declaring Turkey a republic and becoming its President, the former commander in the army of the shrinking Ottoman Empire, and a hero of World War-I, Mustafa Kemal Pasha, abolished the centuries-old office of the caliphate and drove the last Ottoman Caliph into exile.
With this act, not only did Kemal launch his ambitious republican and secularisation project in Turkey, but he also triggered a race between Muslim leaders and monarchs to become recognised as the new leaders of the Muslim world.
Various Muslim groups around the world had agitated against European powers, who were at war with the Ottomans during World War-I. But after the defeat of the Ottomans, many Muslim political leaders and intellectuals hailed Kemal’s coming into power and saw him as a modern redeemer of Islam.
The British historian, E Kedourie, in a 1963 essay for the Journal of the Royal Asiatic Society of Great Britain, writes that Kemal was conscious of the fact that the idea of the caliphate was deeply embedded in the minds of Muslims. According to Kedourie, at one point, Kemal actually wanted to name himself as the new Caliph. But since this would have contradicted and complicated his secularisation and republican project, he didn’t.
However, Kedourie adds that Kemal then offered a much-weakened version of the caliphate to Shaikh Ahmad al-Sanusi, an Arab head of a Sufi order, as long as he would remain outside Turkey.
This suggests that, despite launching an aggressive project to secularise Turkey, Kemal was still interested in retaining the country’s role as the “spiritual and political leader of the Muslim world.” But after the abolition of the Ottoman caliphate, two contenders rushed in to claim the title. King Fuad of Egypt (that was still being ruled by the British) and the Wahabi Arab tribal leader, Ibn Saud, who, with the help of the British, had conquered former Ottoman territories in what would become Saudi Arabia in 1932. In 1926, Fuad organised an international Muslim conference in Cairo. It was not attended by Saud. Weeks later, Saud held a similar conference in Mecca. Turkey did not attend any of the two events and neither did the Shia-majority Iran.
In 1947, a much smaller player emerged in this race. It called itself Pakistan. It was founded in August 1947 by Muhammad Ali Jinnah’s Muslim League. The party’s roots lay in an evolving idea which emerged in the 19th century. It took a modernist approach to understanding Islam. This then progressed as a Muslim nationalism, which was remoulded as Pakistani nationalism. According to the French political scientist, Christophe Jaffrelot, this approach relegated Islamic rituals to the private sphere and brought into public space Islam as a political-cultural identity marker.
Inspired by the writings of Muslim reformers such as Sir Syed Ahmad Khan and the poet and philosopher Muhammad Iqbal, Jinnah and his party imagined a sovereign Muslim-majority country untainted by, what Iqbal had lamented, tribalism inherent in Arabian polities. Iqbal pleaded for a faith understood and articulated according to the needs of modern times.
Jinnah and his colleagues needed to greatly trim the pan-Islamic aspects of Muslim nationalism to root it more in the realities of South-Asian Muslims.
But this did not deter Pakistan’s first Prime Minister, Liaquat Ali Khan, from declaring that Pakistan was a lot more than just another Muslim country. According to M Razvi, in the 1981 issue of the Journal of Pakistan Institute of International Affairs, Pakistan held a World Muslim Conference in 1951 in Karachi. During the event, Liaquat highlighted the importance of retaining pan-Islamic ideas.
This did not please Saudi Arabia, which suspected that Pakistan was trying to undermine the kingdom’s (self-appointed) role as the leader of the post-Colonial Muslim world. But this role was dramatically snatched away by Gamal Abdel Nasser, the Egyptian President who came to power through a coup in 1952. Charismatic and articulate, Nasser was hailed as a hero by Muslims around the world when, in 1956, he managed to keep at bay an attack by British and Israeli forces on Egypt.
With his displays of Arab socialism and a modernity suited to the needs of the evolving Muslim polities, Nasser mocked Saudi Arabia of being retrogressive and rigid. For a decade after 1956, Nasser’s Egypt was the undisputed leader of the Muslim world, inspiring large numbers of Muslims in Arab and non-Arab regions alike.
Stung by Nasser’s status in this context, and also by his criticism of Saudi Arabia, the Saudi monarch King Faisal (who came to the throne in 1964) unfolded a hectic modernisation process in Saudi Arabia. However, Nasser’s mystique and influence began to rapidly recede when Egyptian and Syrian forces were decimated by their Israeli counterparts in 1967.
In 1970, Nasser passed away, and Saudi Arabia once again rushed in to pick up the status of the leader of the Muslim world. A windfall of profits made during (and because of) the 1973 oil crisis enhanced the influence of what became known as the “petro-dollar.” And Saudi Arabia had the most.
Faisal cleverly used these to subdue (and win over) Nasser’s successor Anwar Sadat. Faisal was also aware of the ambitions of Pakistani Prime Minister ZA Bhutto, who fancied himself as a champion of the modern Muslim world. But since Pakistan had lost a war in 1971 and its economy was weak, Faisal brought Pakistan fully into the ever-expanding Saudi orbit.
By the 1980s, flush with petro-dollars and with a surge in the popularity of “political Islam” in Muslim countries, Saudi political and religious influence witnessed a manifold increase. It was only challenged by the radical Shia theocracy in Iran. Both countries fought a brutal war of influence through sectarian proxies in countries such as Pakistan and Lebanon.
However, in the new century, events such as the Arab Spring, the fall of dictatorships in Libya, Iraq and Tunisia, civil wars in Afghanistan, Somalia, Syria and Yemen, the emergence of multiple violent anti-State Islamist outfits in most Muslim countries, along with the retreat of the US and the rise of China, began to make various Muslim countries reconsider their strategic priorities and even reinvent their ideological character to strike new alliances. Turkey, which had dropped out of the game of Muslim leadership decades ago, entered the fray again and is trying to lure non-Arab Muslim regions to break away from the Saudi orbit. It is an orbit that had already begun to decay.
This is one reason why the new Saudi monarchs are trying to revive King Faisal’s initial reformist ideas. Whereas the conservative aspect of Saudi ideology was castigated by Nasser’s Egypt in the past, this time it is being challenged by Erdogan’s “neo-Ottomanism”, which is critical of Saudi Arabia for squandering the influence it had enjoyed for decades as the leader of the Muslim world.
Turkey sees itself as a more natural candidate for this role. This title once again is up for grabs.
(Courtesy: Dawn)
The US President’s attack on Kamala Harris, calling her ‘nasty,’ ‘mean’ and ‘liar,’ indicates just how worried he is about his chances of winning a re-election
A text message announcing presidential candidate Joe Biden’s choice of White House running mate had only just pinged on his supporters’ phones when US President Donald Trump fired off his first tweet attacking her.
The form that message took — a slickly produced video describing her as a “phony” and creature of the “radical Left” — perhaps indicates just how worried the President is about his chances of winning re-election now that Senator Kamala Harris has joined the Democratic ticket.
If successful in November, the 55-year-old former prosecutor from California would become the first Black woman to serve as Vice-President of the US and would be well-positioned to step up to the presidency itself four years later.
Trump himself has made much of Harris’s status as a “transition” candidate — at 77, Biden is widely expected to serve only one term if successful. Her “ambition” for the role is said to have been a reason he delayed announcing his choice of running mate, with advisers warning she may be too focussed on the next presidential race to serve him loyally as the Vice-President.
If it sounds like an episode of Veep, the popular HBO show starring Julia Louis-Dreyfus as the Vice-President, the 2020 presidential race is certainly no comedy.
Harris’ entry into the race has electrified many women and members of a Black community discouraged by the choice of yet another White man as the Democrats’ presidential candidate just as female reproductive rights are under attack and the country is riven by racial strife following the death of George Floyd. Her ethnicity and gender were undoubtedly motivations for Biden’s selection — he had been urged to opt for a Black candidate following the race riots of late spring and had already promised to choose a woman.
She also becomes the first person of Indian extraction to run for the high office. Born in Oakland, California, Harris’ parents had emigrated to the States from British colonies, 16,000 miles apart, within a year of each other in the early 1960s.
Her mother was a breast cancer surgeon from the Indian city of Chennai, while her father was an economics professor who grew up in Jamaica. Named after a Hindu goddess, Kamala grew up attending both a temple and a Black Baptist church. As a child, she was part of the busing programme designed to desegregate schools — a history she used with devastating effect against Biden, who had opposed busing during their primary debates (Harris also initially sought the presidential nomination, dropping out of the contest after failing to attract big money donors).
As a former presidential hopeful herself, Harris entered the Democratic race on Martin Luther King day, carefully timed to highlight the historic nature of her candidacy. It was also a nod to Shirley Chisholm, the first Black woman elected to Congress, who became the first Black woman to seek the Democratic nomination for president 47 years ago that week. When she announced her bid for the Democratic nomination, Harris said she felt a “responsibility to stand up and fight for the best of who we are” and regain America’s “moral authority” in the world.
Despite showing early promise with strong debate performances, her campaign failed to catch fire and she quit the race in early December as money dried up and her poll numbers plummeted.
Her inability to connect with voters in the Democratic primary race remains a concern for some Democrats, as does the lingering idea that she might not be completely loyal to Biden because of a heated confrontation the two politicians had as rivals competing for the Democratic nomination.
Members of Biden’s inner circle have expressed reservations about the incident during an early Democratic primary debate, when Harris criticised Biden’s past opposition to the policy of busing, which saw children of different races bussed to schools as a way of breaking down segregated education.
As a prosecutor in San Francisco in the 1980s and 1990s, Harris gained a reputation for harsh justice, leading to, some have said, an unfair increase in the incarceration rate for young Black men. She rose to become California Attorney-General in 2011 and was elected to the Senate in 2016. Her background may well blunt Trump’s attempts to claim the mantle of the “law and order candidate.” More generally, her poise and persuasiveness make some Republicans nervous.
In his more candid moments, Trump has admitted to a grudging respect for Harris, publicly advising Biden that she would be the best pick. When the candidate followed the President’s advice, however, it was time for Trump to unleash his characteristically colourful invective.
In a press conference, hours after she was announced, the President began trying out a few familiar attack lines — similar to those misogynistic ones he used against Hillary Clinton — describing Harris several times as “nasty” as well as “mean,” “horrible,” “disrespectful” and a “liar.”
But while the Republicans will now do their best to portray her as a Left-winger, Harris is more mainstream than other senior Democrats such as Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, her politics broadly in line with those of Biden.
She gained a reputation during her presidential run as a strong debater, leading political observers to lick their lips at the prospect of a head-to-head between her and current Vice-President Mike Pence, a steely conservative.
Harris married fellow lawyer Douglas Emhoff in 2014 and is step mother to his two grown-up children, Cole and Ella, who call her “Momala.” She has spoken of her deep love for the children and friendship with their mother, describing the “modern family” as “almost a little too functional.”
So far, the family has kept out of the limelight but that may change as Senator Harris joins the battle for the presidency, in what is expected to be the most fiercely-fought contest for the White House in modern history.
Writer: Rosa Prince; Courtesy: The Pioneer
(Courtesy: The Telegraph)
Kamala Harris is the third woman to stand for Vice-President of the US. Can she do better than the earlier two?
Kamala Harris’ selection as the running mate of Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is a momentous one. She is just the third woman to stand for Vice-President of the United States after Geraldine Ferrero in 1984 and Sarah Palin in 2008 but the first woman of colour to do so. This, four years after Donald Trump unexpectedly defeated Hillary Clinton, the first female US presidential candidate for the White House. In India, too, Harris’ nomination is being celebrated since her mother was a Tamilian. Yet, it’s not her origin but what she represents that might just tilt the scales. Biden has been less than charismatic and Harris’ activism and focussed campaigns on the Afro-American cause give the Democrats a sales pitch to fall back upon, that of upholding civil rights. Not new really, but tested enough. And likely to find some resonance when race relations have taken centrestage following the killing of George Floyd by a White officer. Besides, the Black community has been the worst affected by Trump’s selective pandemic management. In all issues, be it of race, gender, healthcare and law enforcement, Harris has maintained a centrist record. But her drive has helped her push walls so far. Which is why Trump made his discomfort very much visible by calling her “extraordinarily nasty.” He also accused her of being “the meanest, most horrible” of all US Senators.
With the US extremely fractured today, Harris possibly stands the best chance ever of having a woman occupy one of the top offices. That said, everyone expected Hillary Clinton to win in a landslide in 2016 and we all saw what happened. With Biden’s mental acuity being questioned by many and Trump mobilising the Republican base, it would be fatal for the Democrats to take things for granted, particularly in some crucial battleground states which Trump snatched unexpectedly. While Harris was brought up single-handedly by her mother, after her parents divorced when she was five, and her father, the Jamaican-born economist Donald Harris, did extensive work in India, she identifies herself as a “Black” woman to build her political capital. Despite several in the Indian community urging her to recognise her heritage, she has consistently sought to downplay it. Incidentally, she is distantly related to India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar. So while many in the Indian diaspora will celebrate her nomination, her politics is more often than not at variance with Indian interests. Indeed, she is as guilty as several other politicians of making some major policy flip-flops over the years. But with global geopolitics undergoing a sea change over the past few years and with China increasingly asserting itself, her views on India might change as well.
(Courtesy: The Pioneer)

The vibrancy, sleaze and palace intrigues of Indian democracy mirror its progenitor model in Great Britain but it still lacks the latter’s accountability, honesty and professionalism
As the intrigues, twists and moral dilemmas of Indian politics ensue, the brilliant but controversial enfant terrible of British politics, Winston Churchill’s truism about democracy rings true: “The Opposition occupies the benches in front of you but the enemy sits behind you.” Widely hailed as one of the “Greatest Britons”, Churchill had a deeply unsavoury side that manifested in his irrefutable role in the Bengal famine and his clearly racist opinions about Gandhi, Islam and the Jews among others. The quintessential politician had a penchant for party hopping, or “ratting” as it was called.
Never short of wit to describe his political fleet-footedness, Churchill justified jumping from the Conservatives to the Liberals to back the former by saying, “It is easy for an individual to move through those insensible gradations from the Left to the Right but the act of crossing the floor is one which requires serious consideration. I am well informed on this matter, for I have accomplished that difficult process not only once but twice.” However, it can be argued that Churchill’s political dalliances were principle-based and not just sheer opportunism, given the free trade absolutism professed by him — one which got compromised initially by the Conservatives (who developed protectionist instincts) and then by the Liberals.
The Indian democracy is based on the British Westminster style of parliamentary democracy and serendipitously, in the middle of the latest political revolt in Rajasthan, an Opposition leader alluded to Churchill’s predecessor and bete noire, Neville Chamberlain, as an analogy to questionable decision-making. To some extent, the vibrancy, sleaze and “palace intrigues” of Indian democracy mirror its progenitor model in Great Britain but Indian politics has not evolved on some more substantial aspects like accountability, honesty and professionalism that have a higher imprint in British politics currently.
Put simply, partisan moorings of the British politicians on either side of the fence are more ideological, pronounced and a matter of personal faith. Whereas, in the context of Indian politics, it is a matter of “ticket”, legacy, ambition or even hate of the proverbial “other,” all of which define partisan preferences. In British politics, the evolutionary process is breaking down and the blurring of stereotypes of certain socio-cultural gravitation towards partisan preferences, for example, Tony Blair’s New Labour movement, is on. But religion, race, ethnicity, background or region still drive overwhelming preferences in the Indian context.
A uniquely Indian phenomenon of playing down one’s personal ambition in favour of ascribing sharp political move to “what my supporters would advise” or conversely in “abiding by the party whip as a loyal soldier of the party” is hilariously untrue, cliched and convenient.
Another tired expression that barely masks the reality is the attribution of getting caught (prima facie) in a sticky situation to a rote and insipid, “it is a political conspiracy against me.” The largest democracy in the world has not evolved in matters of expression, honesty and justifications. Continuing double standards of morality have been thrown into the admixture to truly exemplify the saying, “Politics is the last refuge of the scoundrel.” Not really so in British politics.
In Britain, there is a finely developed culture of “internal democracy” that frequently and openly facilitates cross-party voting on crucial matters. Brexit was a typical example of multiparty huddles that composed the Brexiteer camp or the Remainiacs. In Indian politics, to assume intellectual or ideologically contrarian positions from the party leadership stand (even neutrality, if not opposition) is the surest and fastest test of “disloyalty” that amounts to political suicide.
The dictatorial strain of an obsequious “high command” culture is celebrated and not frowned upon — literally from attributing divinity to professing blind faith. This is par for the course in Indian politics.
Another remarkable difference is the relative grace with which incumbents to the high offices bid farewell, often willingly. Four of the last seven Prime Ministers of the UK left 10 Downing Street not owing to electoral defeat by the Opposition party but due to leadership changes necessitated on account of their own diminishment within the ruling party.
More importantly, age is not the criterion to justify their over-staying at the political centre-stage. A 49-year-old David Cameron left active politics with his final farewell speech comment, “I was the future once.” Cameron had resigned after the Brexit referendum went against his stated position to “stay” and he assumed moral (not legal) responsibility for the result. His exit paved way for his colleague Theresa May. Later, May herself was unable to see through the Brexit task and was replaced by her party member Boris Johnson.
Importantly, May had no qualms about assuming the “back bench” and continues to serve her constituency as a regular Member of Parliament. May’s farewell speech as the Prime Minister concluded with, “I will shortly leave the job that has been the honour of my life to hold — the second female Prime Minister but certainly not the last. I do so with no ill-will but with enormous and enduring gratitude to have had the opportunity to serve the country I love.” Such graceful political exits are unthinkable in the Indian context.
Our politicians perpetuate the ostensibly selfless line of “serving the people” with much grandiosity and pomposity even as the uniquely Indian phenomenon of “resort quarantining”, “horse trading” and “accommodating rivals till recently with ministerships” continues. No political party in India can honestly claim to be cleaner than the other.
Candidates of dubious personal credentials win votes and seats for all parties — only the “monopoly on truth” changes hands with the dispensations in power, who dominate the airtime. While we have a lot to begrudge Winston Churchill for what he believed in and inflicted on India, his words were profound nonetheless, “In war, you can only be killed once but in politics, many times.” This moral or ideological death seems to be an insignificant price in our politics as we are able to adjust to any narrative, irrespective of the substance.
(The writer, a military veteran, is a former Lt Governor of Andaman & Nicobar Islands)
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